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走进我的交易室 中英对照版-第57部分

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超卖。
Use oscillators; such as MACD…Histogram and Force Index; to identify overbought and oversold areas。 Trade in the direction of the tide; entering when a wave goes against the tide。 When the 25…minute trend is up; falling prices and oscillators on a five…minute chart reflect a temporary bearish imbalance … a buying opportunity。 When the 25…minute trend is down; rising prices and oscillators on a five…minute chart reflect a temporary bullish imbalance … a shorting opportunity。
用振荡指标,比如MACD柱和力量指数,去确认超买和超卖区域。顺着潮水交易,当暂时的退潮时进场。当25分钟趋势上涨,5分钟图上价格和振荡指标下跌反映了暂时的多头不平衡——是买入的机会。当25分钟趋势下跌,5分钟图上价格和振荡指标上涨反映了暂时的空头不平衡——是做空的机会。
Day…traders sometimes ask whether they should analyze weekly and daily charts。 The weekly trend is essentially meaningless for them; and even the daily is of limited value。 Looking at too many timeframes can lead to “paralysis from analysis。”
日内交易者有时问是否应该分析周线图和日线图。对他们来说,周线图没有意义,连日线图也只有有限的意义。查看太多时间周期会导致分析瘫痪。
Place SafeZone stops。 After entering a trade; place a protective stop; using the SafeZone method (see page xx )。 Consider making it “on close only”; watch the screen and give an order to exit only if the five…minute bar closes beyond your stop level。 This way; a brief penetration caused by market noise will not touch off a stop。 Naturally; there is no bar…gaining or waiting for another tick。 To be a day…trader; you must have iron discipline!
设置安全止损点。一旦交易了,就要设置保护性止损,利用安全区域的方法。用收盘价的思维设置,看着屏幕,当5分钟收盘价比你的止损点低就要出场。这样,市场噪音造成的临时穿透不算止损。自然,不能就赚一个竹线或等待一个基点。要想成为日内交易者,你必须有铁的纪律。


Figure 6。4 Day…Trading … Five…Minute Chart
图6。4 日内交易——5分钟图
The long…term 25…minute chart has told us to trade HGSI from the long side。 The declines of the intermediate trend provide buying opportunities。 On Thursday; the five…minute chart heads down from the opening; punching below its EMA。 Wait for the MACD…Histogram to tick up; confirming a buy signal (point A)。 It shows that the decline is ending; and within half an hour HGSI rallies to its upper channel line (point B); a good place to take profits。 It declines back to the EMA; giving ample opportunities to position long; even if you missed the first signal。 The MACD bottom in area C is more shallow; showing that bears are weaker; reinforcing the buy signal。 Prices make four more attempts to reach the upper channel line。 You can sell at any of them; but if you have not sold during the first three; the fourth is a must。 It is getting late in the day; you already know that today prices do not seem to be able to reach their upper channel line; and as a day…trader you do not want to hold overnight。 Sure enough; during the last half…hour there is a downdraft; as day…traders who over…stayed the uptrend start pushing through the door; trying to get out。
长期25分钟图告诉我们要做多人类基因科学。下跌的中周期给我们提供了买入机会。周四,5分钟开盘下跌,造成均线下跌。等待MACD柱上涨,确认买入机会(A点)。这表明下跌结束了,半小时后人类基因科学上涨到通道上线(B点),是兑现利润的好地方。它下跌到均线,给出了做多的绝好机会,即使你错过了第一个信号。MACD在区域C的底很浅,表明空头很弱,加强了买入信号。价格4次尝试通道上线。你可以在任何时候卖出,但是如果你没有在前3次卖出,第4次必须卖出。当天已经很晚了,你也早就知道今天的价格不太可能超过通道上线,作为日内交易者,你不能持过夜仓。肯定的是,这最后半小内没有下跌,日内交易者开门推门出场了。
On Friday; there is a buy signal right at the opening; followed by a quick rally to the upper channel line for profit taking; and then another decline to the EMA (point D)。 The subsequent rallies never quite reach the upper channel line; but there is another buying opportunity at point E; during a pullback to the EMA。 There are two weak rallies later in the afternoon; and if you do not use them to take profits; there is one last ring for the hard of hearing when the EMA turns down。 Intraday charts often have countertrend moves late in the day; as traders with paper profits start closing positions。
周五,开盘有个买入信号,之后快速的上涨到通道上线可以兑现利润,然后又下跌到均线(D点)。之后的上涨都没有后达到通道上线,但是在E点又出现了一个买点,正好回调到均线。下午又有2个微弱的反弹,如果你不用它们兑现利润,最后的艰难决策就是当均线下跌时。在当天下午日内图经常有逆势下跌,当时有利润的人开始平仓。
At the right edge of the chart; the trading day and the trading week are over。 You have no overnight risk and can relax before the opening on Monday; when the 25…minute MACD…Histogram will tell you whether to trade this stock from the long or the short side。
在图的右边,当日和当周的交易结束了。你没有过夜风险,可以在周一开盘前休息,到时候MACD柱会告诉你是做多还是做空。
SCREEN THREE
第三重滤网
This screen handles entries and exits。
这重滤网处理进场和出场。
Enter in the vicinity of a moving average on a five…minute chart。 If the 25…minute trend is up; buy pullbacks to the EMA on a five…minute chart; especially when oscillators are oversold。 Reverse the procedure in downtrends。 This is better than chasing breakouts; buying at the highs; or shorting at the lows。
在5分钟图上,在均线附近进场。如果25分钟图上涨,在5分钟图上回跌到均线时买入,尤其是振荡指标超卖的时候。下跌时则反之。这比追突破好,在高点做多,在低点做空。
Take profits in the vicinity of the channel line。 If you buy near the moving average; aim to sell near the upper channel line。 If your five…minute oscillators; such as MACD…Histogram; are making new highs and related markets are rallying; you may wait for the channel to be hit or penetrated。 If the indicators are weak; grab your profit fast without waiting for prices to touch the channel。
在通道线附近兑现利润。如果你在均线附近买入,在通道上线附近卖出。如果你的5分钟振荡指标,比如MACD柱创造了新高,且相关市场在上涨,你可以等待通道被碰到或穿过。如果指标弱,不用等到价格碰到通道就止损。
Measure your performance as the percentage of the channel width。 You must be an A trader to make day…trading worthwhile。 Even then; you have to prove to yourself that you can make more money day…trading than position trading。 Try to trade only a few times a day and aim to catch at least a third of that day’s range。 Enter cautiously; but run fast。 Do not trade during after…hours sessions when markets tend to be very thin。
用通道的宽度计算你的成绩。日内交易者必须达到A水平。即使如此,你还要提高自己,以保证日内交易比仓位较易赚的多。尽量一天只交易几次,目标是赚到一天波动的三分之一。进场要谨慎,但出场要快。不要在最后的半小时交易,因为市场交易清淡。
Taking Day…Trades Overnight
持仓过夜
If you enter a trade early in the day and the market keeps moving in your favor; should you hold that trade overnight? How about over the weekend? Of course; those questions only apply to profitable trades。 Taking a loss overnight is strictly for losers。
如果你白天交易了,市场对你有利,你是否要持过夜仓?周末是否可以持仓过夜?当让可以,只要是赚钱的仓位。持有亏钱的仓位绝对是输家干的事。
A beginner must close his day…trades by the end of the day; but an experienced pro has the option of holding them overnight。 When a market closes within a few ticks of its high; it usually exceeds it the next morning。 A market that closes on its lows usually flirts with lower lows the next day。 Those extensions are not guaranteed; as the market may close on its high; get hit with bad news overnight; and open sharply lower。 This is why only experienced day…traders have the option of taking their trades overnight。
新手必须在当天收盘前平仓,但是有经验的专业人士可以选择持仓过夜。当市场收盘前比最高点高几个基点,第二天通常会超过它。市场的收盘价是底部,通常第二天会到达更低的地方。这些经验不是绝对的,市场可能收盘在最高价,当晚有坏消息袭击,第二天开盘非常低。这就是为什么只有有经验的日内交易者可以持仓过夜。
Research; knowledge; and discipline put your trades on a cooler; more rational footing。 You have to research the past; calculate the odds; and make informed decisions for the future。 When you day…trade; there are plenty of hours when the market goes nowhere; leaving you free to crunch the numbers。 You may use a single puter or get two machines and dedicate one to trading and another to research。
研究,长知识,形成更冷静,更理性的纪律。你必须研究过去,计算概率,为将来做有准备的决定。当你做日内交易,市场经常会乱走,你要自己摸索出来。你可以使用1,2台电脑,一台做交易,一台做研究。
Get one year’s history for the market you’re day…trading。 Drop it into a spreadsheet and start asking questions。 Every time the market closed within 5 ticks of its high; how many times did it reach a new high the next day? How far did it go the next day? What about the days when that market closed within 5 ticks of the lows? How low did it go the next day? Once you get the answers; find out what happened when the market closed within 10 ticks of the high; and so on。
取得你交易的市场的1年历史数据。把它放进电子表格,开始问问题。每当市场收盘比最高点高5个基点以内,第二天它到达新高的次数是多少?第二天涨到了多高?每当市场收盘价比最低点低5个基点以内,又是如何?第二天最低到哪里?如果你有了答案,再研究如果市场收盘价比最高点高10个基点以内又是如何,以此类推。
Professio
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