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money in options tend to be mathematically savvy and highly capitalized； the exact opposite of an average wide…eyed gambler who hopes to make a quick buck from his 5；000 stake。 Let us now review options strategies for buying and writing。
以上是对期权的短暂总结。如果想多学点，请去看关于期权的书，本章结尾会列出来。但是要警惕这样的承诺“简单的策略能保证1年3倍，1年工作15分钟，不必数学好。”在期权市场赚钱的人一般数学很好，资金充足。只有天真的赌徒才希望用5000元赚快钱。我们来总结买期权和发行期权的策略。
Buying Options … The Major Reversal Tactic It is harder to make money buying options than stocks。 You face all the usual problems； such as choosing the right stock； identifying its trend； and selecting entry and exit points。 In addition； you must worry how fast your stock will get where you expect it to go。 If you buy a rising stock and it takes five months instead of three to reach its target； you still have a winning trade。 Do the same with options； and they’ll expire worthless。 If you decide to buy more time by getting longer…term options； you’ll lose money in a different way； because those options are more expensive and move more slowly。 All options keep losing time value。 Poor beginners who buy them as a substitute for stocks rush in where the pros fear to tread！
买期权——重要的反转战术 买期权赚钱比买股票赚钱难。你要面对不寻常的问题，必须选择正确的股票，确认它的趋势，选择进场点，出场点。另外，你还要研究股票以多快的速度才能到达你的目标。如果你买了一只上涨的股票，它用了5个月，不是3个月涨到了你的目标，你是赚钱的。同样的方法用在期权上，它们却到期作废了。如果你想买到期日很长的期权，你可能在多种情况下亏钱，因为这样的期权很贵，动作很慢。所有的期权都在损失时间价值。可怜的新手为了替换股票跳进了专业人士都怕的市场。
Professionals tend to buy options only on special occasions； when they expect a major reversal； especially to the downside。 If you expect not a little downtrend in a stock but a massive crash； buying a put may be a good idea。 When a long…term trend begins to turn； especially near the top； it creates massive turbulence； like an ocean liner changing its course。 A stock may collapse today and soar tomorrow； only to collapse again。 When volatility goes through the roof； even well…heeled traders have trouble placing stops。 A stop belongs outside the zone of market noise； but where do you put it when the noise level rises to a roar？ Options allow you to sidestep this problem； at a price which can only be covered by a major move。
专业人士仅在特殊情况下买期权，当他们期待主要反转的时候，尤其是下跌的时候买入。如果你不是期待股票的小跌，而是崩跌，那么买看跌期权是好主意。当长期趋势开始下跌时，尤其是顶部附近的下跌，它会产生很大的振荡，就像是海岸线改变了路线。股票也许会今天崩跌，明天飙涨，然后又崩跌。当波动穿破屋顶时，即使是有能力的交易者也不知道如何设置止损了。止损是市场噪音外的东西，但是在噪音冲天的市场该怎么办呢？期权能让你避免这个问题，在主趋势只能回补的价格下手。
Prices tend to fall twice as fast as they rise。 Greed； the dominant emotion of uptrends； is a happy and lasting feeling。 Fear； the dominant emotion of downtrends； is sharper and more violent。 Professionals are more likely to buy puts because of shorter exposure to time decay。 When you expect a major downside reversal； buying a put can be a sensible trade。 The same principles apply to calls； but uptrends are better traded with stocks。
价格在下跌时的跌幅一般是上涨时的2倍。上涨时的主要情绪是贪婪。下跌时的主要情绪是恐惧，更厉害，更剧烈。专业人士喜欢买看跌期权，因为时间损耗短。当你期待主趋势反转时，买看跌期权是合理的。看涨期权也是同样的原理，但上涨的趋势还是买股票好。
A trader who expects a downswing must decide which put to buy。 The best choice is counterintuitive and different from what most people get。
期待下跌的交易者要决定买什么样的看跌期权。最好是和直觉不同的，和别人不一样的。
Estimate how low you expect a stock to collapse。 A put is worth buying only if you expect a waterfall decline。
要估计股票会跌到哪里。只有在崩跌时看跌期权才值得买。
Avoid puts with more than two months of life。 Buying puts makes sense only when you expect a sharp decline。 If you anticipate a drawn…out downtrend； it is better to sell short the underlying security。
要避免买存续期超过2个月的看跌期权。只有在期待崩跌时买入看跌期权才有意义。如果你希望会长期下跌，那么最好是做空标的证券。
Look for cheap puts whose price reflects no hope。 Move your finger down the column of put strikes。 The lower you go； the cheaper the puts。 At first； each time you drop to the next strike price； a put is 25％ or even 35％ cheaper than the previous level。 Eventually you e to the strike level at which you would only save a tiny fraction of price。 This shows that all hope has been squeezed out of that put； and it is priced like a cheap lottery ticket。 That is the one you want！
寻找便宜的看跌期权，它们的价格反映了没有希望。顺着看跌期权向下找。越往下越便宜。首先，行权价越低一个层次，就意味着看跌期权比上一层次要便宜25％——35％。最后一个层次价格最便宜。这表明所有的希望都被挤没了，这个价格和买彩票差不多。你就要这样的！
Buying a very cheap； far…out…of…the…money put is counterintuitive。 It is so far…out…of…the…money and has so little life left in it that it seems likely to expire worthless。 You can’t place a stop on it； so if you’re wrong； the entire premium will go up in smoke。 Why not buy a put closer to the money？
买一个便宜的，不值钱的看跌期权是违反只觉的。不值钱的，没有多少生命的看起来要到期作废了。你不能止损，如果你错了，所有的钱就化成烟了。为什么不买值钱的看跌期权？
The only time to buy a put is when you’re shooting for an exceptional gain from a major reversal。 In an ordinary downtrend it’s better to short stocks。 Cheap far…out…of…the…money puts provide the most bang for the buck。 Aim for a 10…fold gain or better； rather than the usual 2：1 or 3：1 ratio。 Returns like these allow you to be wrong on a string of trades； yet e out ahead in the end。 Catching one major reversal will make up for a string of losses and leave you very profitable。
买看跌期权的唯一机会是当你寻找从主要的反转赚钱时买入。在普通的下跌中，最好做空股票。不值钱的看跌期权能赚大钱。目标是10倍，或更多，不是通常的2倍或3倍。想取得这样的回报，你可以连续多次犯错，但最终结果要赚钱。抓住一次重大反转会弥补一连串的亏损，并赚很多利润。
The best options trade I ever made was during the October 1989 minicrash in the stock market。 On Thursday the market closed weak； with new lows exceeding the new highs for the first time in over a year； which gave me a long…awaited sell signal。 On Friday morning； while at a trade show in Chicago； I bought OEX puts at 3/8。 On Friday afternoon the bottom fell out of the market。 On Monday the market opened sharply lower and my puts； purchased just a few trading hours ago at less than half a point； were bid at 17。
我最好的期权交易发生在1989年10月股市的小崩盘。周四收盘弱，整年中第一次出现新低比新高低，给出了我一直等待的卖出信号。周五早上，当时在芝加哥看交易展，我用3/ 8的价格买了OEX的看跌期权。周五下午形成了新底。周一早上市场严重低开，我的看跌期权已经涨到17了。
Why don’t more people use this tactic？ First； it requires a great deal of patience； as opportunities are very infrequent。 It offers very little entertainment value。 Most people cannot stomach the idea of being wrong three； four； or five times in a row； even if they are likely to make money in the end。 This is why so few traders play one of the greatest games in the options market。
为什么大部分人不使用这个战术？首先，需要极大的耐心，因为机会太少了。它可不是给你娱乐的。大部分无法忍受连续3，4或5次亏损，即使最终会赚钱。所以很少有人玩这个伟大的期权游戏。
Writing Options Beginners； gamblers； and undercapitalized traders make up the majority of option buyers。 Just think of all the money lost by those hapless folks in their eagerness to get rich quick。 Have you sent a few dollars down the options hole？ Who got all that money？ Brokers； of course； but mostly options writers。 Well…capitalized professionals tend to write options rather than buy them。 Covered writers sell options against securities they own。 Naked writers sell options without owning the underlying securities。
发行期权 新手，赌徒和资金少的交易者构成了期权买家的大部分。想象那些急着赚钱，却不幸亏钱的人吧。你有没有把一些钱投入期权的黑洞？谁赚了所有的钱？当然是经纪商，但大部分是发行期权的人。资金雄厚的专业人士一般是发行期权，而不是买期权。有标的证券期权发行人卖出针对他们拥有的证券的期权。无标的证券期权发行人没有证券也卖出期权。
A stock or a future can do one of three things： rise； fall； or stay flat。 When you buy a call； you can profit only if the market rises； but lose if it goes down or stays flat； and sometimes even if it rises but not fast enough。 When you buy a put； you win only if the market falls fast enough。 An options buyer makes money only if the market goes his way； but loses if it goes against him or stays flat。 A buyer has one chance to win out of three； but the odds are two out of three for an option writer。 No wonder the pros prefer writing options。
股票或期货可以做3件事：上涨，下跌或横盘。如果你买入看涨期权，你有在市场上涨时赚到利润；如果它下跌或横盘，你就亏损；有时候它在涨，但涨的不快也亏损。如果你买入看跌期权，只有市场跌的足够快你才能赢。只有市场按照他想的方向走，期权买家才能赚钱；如果市场方向和想的相反，或横盘，就要亏钱。买家赢家的概率是三分之一，但是期权发行人的机会是三分之二。难怪专业人士都喜欢发行期权。
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